Let’s go back to Maria Kunnikova. Maria Kunnikova most recently wrote her second book, The Confidence Game, which becomes a bestseller.
Let’s play the dice game. The table rolls the dice and the players bet on the next number. If the player knows the dice, he will win 3 times his bet. The game will consist of 2 stages. We rolled dice 6 times in the first half. Let it be 2 times 1, 2 times 5 and 2 times 6. Now let the gambler in the game make the following logic. The numbers 2, 3 and 4 never came in the first half. In the second half, 6 dice will be rolled, so these numbers that have not come before have to come twice. Because the probability of each happening is 1/6, so 2/12. He bets that as a total of 12 dice will be rolled, 2, 3 and 4 will be rolled twice, and numbers 1, 5 and 6 will not appear at all. These numbers, which appear twice at the beginning of the game, cannot be realized any more. This is unlikely.